近期一直有人“认为”俄罗斯要迁都，甚至将这事儿说得有鼻子有眼儿的，还确定地说什么俄罗斯要迁地新都就在西伯利亚地区。但我个人认为这种说法是极其错误的。也与目前地国际情势和俄罗斯历史走向不符。俄罗斯是不敢也不能迁都西伯利亚的。众所周知，俄罗斯发源于乌拉尔山和乌拉尔河以西的东部欧洲地带。如今的莫斯科是俄罗斯的政治、经济、文化中心。俄罗斯必须得守。还记得那句经典名言“退无可退、身后就是莫斯科”吗？莫斯科为什么重要？从俄罗斯的历史就会发现，莫斯科的地位是俄罗斯历史赋予的。当然，从这次乌克兰战争我们就可以发现端倪，为什么俄罗斯一定要打爆不听话的乌克兰呢？这是一个问题。而这个问题本身也就是答案，因为俄罗斯真正的起源地是基辅，当年的基辅罗斯才是如今俄罗斯的正宗正源。基辅在哪儿呢？乌克兰的首都啊。俄罗斯已经失去了基辅，如果再失去莫斯科，那么俄罗斯还是俄罗斯吗？俄罗斯这个国家的名字还能够叫做“俄罗斯”吗？这是核心点；更是俄罗斯的灵魂和血脉的基因。
还有一点，那就是如果俄罗斯迁都了，莫斯科的地位该怎么样，该如何定性定位？尤其是在如今的乌克兰战争（或俄西热战）的战略对抗和战术焦灼的白热化僵持阶段，一旦俄罗斯迁都了，那就说明了俄罗斯面临着大溃败的局面，一发而不可收拾。莫斯科极有可能被成为乌克兰军队及其西方雇佣兵的重点攻击对象。一旦成为攻击的对象，莫斯科乃至俄罗斯必然会面临着一种现实的颓败之势，到了那时，莫斯科的尴尬，就会成为整个俄罗斯的灾难，莫斯科甚至都有被丢失的可能。这种可能并非空穴来风，因为第一张“多米诺骨牌”倒下了，后面跟着也就倒霉了。一旦莫斯科丢失了，俄罗斯的精神图腾也就要垮了。也可以说莫斯科是俄罗斯的底线，如果俄罗斯的底线都没有了，底裤都掉了。那么俄罗斯还会存在吗？如果俄罗斯的精神都不存在了，那么俄罗斯的迁都还有什么意义？如果真的迁都到西伯利亚地区，俄罗斯对整个欧洲的掌控力必然是下降的，俄罗斯的影响力就会变得孱弱不堪了。进而孱弱的控制力必然会导致军阀割据，助长各地的独立势头。一旦独立成为气候，俄罗斯内部会蜂拥而起，揭竿而起的。风起云涌的独立势头最终会让俄罗斯联邦分崩离析，这是俄罗斯不能承受的之重。俄罗斯会不打自败的，况且还会产生天量巨额的战争赔款呢。
还有一个特别的原因，尤其是目前的战争情形下，乌克兰战争中的各方均处于焦灼的对峙阶段，各方都投入了大量的资源正在互耗，谁也不让谁。战争中的各方最终能不能取得胜利，那看谁能够耗过谁了？谁能够笑到最后，谁就会成为最终的赢家。这个时候提出俄罗斯迁都或者说实行迁都行为，是非常不合时宜的，这种提法本身就是对俄罗斯最大的伤害，目的就是为了打垮俄罗斯的战争锐气，动摇俄罗斯的军心和民心。如果我个人没有猜错的话，这种提法应该是俄罗斯国内的“汉奸”和西方的间谍故意这样搞的，终极目的就要弱化俄罗斯人的抵抗意志和打散俄罗斯人的坚强心志，让俄罗斯内部不打自垮。这是一个狠毒之招，俄罗斯应该能够看得清楚。如果俄罗斯被忽悠了，在这次所谓的“迁都”中真信了，行动上实施了，意志上退却了，那么、西方国家就会暗助乌克兰就用武器直接攻击圣彼得堡和莫斯科，下一步俄罗斯的欧洲部分会沦为战场，俄罗斯人一千多年的精神图腾和文化信仰就会被打得稀巴烂。俄罗斯的底线被突破，那么俄罗斯在这场乌克兰战争当中会失去更多，甚至会遭到重大的惨败，会死得连骨头渣儿都不剩；所以我们上文已经说了，这是俄罗斯的不能承受之重。点就在这儿，因为俄罗斯不仅仅丢失其欧洲部分，最重要的会丢失整个俄罗斯，俄罗斯这个名号将会不复存在，俄罗斯将不会再有“俄罗斯”了。那有人说了，俄罗斯有核武器呀，即使再有核武器，如果各地军阀割据，侵略者占领了自己的国土，俄罗斯总不能对着军阀或者自己内部的割据势力使用及在自己国土上的侵略者使用核武器吧？那是相当于在自己国土上用核武器轰炸自己的领土了。
所以，这是在目前的状态之下，有关俄罗斯“迁都”西伯利亚的说法，系俄罗斯国内的“汉奸”、间谍和西方国家对俄罗斯渗透和“软刀子”捅人的一个恶毒的“支招儿”。假设俄罗斯迁都西伯利亚的话，从表面上来看，俄罗斯的直线距离东方大国更近了，俄罗斯更安全了，但是这种安全相当于饮鸩止渴，实质上是俄罗斯的大溃败，因为它丢掉了包括莫斯科和圣彼得堡在内的更大层面的欧洲地区；甚至代表着俄罗斯退出了欧洲。难道俄罗斯要“转型”为亚洲国家？俄罗斯精神会瞬间崩塌，如此俄罗斯就不再是俄罗斯了。因为这个欧洲主体国家将无复存在，俄罗斯必然面临着170多个民族走向分崩离析的不可逆转的局面。真的到了那个时候，俄罗斯这个“大英雄”却是死得如此的窝囊，西方国家的伎俩和阴谋得逞。不用西方的“刀”就能够把俄罗斯这头“北极熊”给砍死了。在西方国家的香槟酒杯碰击中的欢快里，俄罗斯的坟头儿长满了荒草……；想一想看，凭着俄罗斯人的铁血性格和智慧，会让这些变成现实吗？
（以下是英文版The next is English edition）
Global Refuel Station Column Issue 22: Those Advocating for Russia to "Relocate Its Capital to Siberia" Are Truly Malicious at Heart
(Afternoon, January 7, 2026)
Recently, some people have been "claiming" that Russia intends to relocate its capital, even describing the matter with vivid detail and asserting that Russia's new capital would be in the Siberian region. However, I personally believe this notion is profoundly mistaken and inconsistent with both the current international situation and Russia's historical trajectory. Russia neither dares nor can it relocate its capital to Siberia.
As is well known, Russia originated in Eastern Europe, west of the Ural Mountains and the Ural River. Present-day Moscow is Russia's political, economic, and cultural center. Russia must defend it. Recall theic phrase: "There is nowhere left to retreat—behind us is Moscow." Why is Moscow so crucial? An examination of Russian history reveals that Moscow's status is a legacy bestowed by that history. Of course, the ongoing war in Ukraine provides clues. Why is Russia so determined to defeat a disobedient Ukraine? This question contains its own answer: because Russia's true place of origin is Kyiv. The ancient Kievan Rus' is the authentic, original source of modern Russia. And where is Kyiv? It's the capital of Ukraine. Russia has already lost Kyiv. If it were to lose Moscow as well, would Russia still be Russia? Could the country even continue to be called "Russia"? This is the core point; it is the very soul and genetic lineage of Russia.
Furthermore, if Russia were to relocate its capital, how would Moscow's status be defined and positioned? Especially during the current phase of the war in Ukraine (or the Russia-West hot war), characterized by strategic confrontation and a white-hot, deadlocked stalemate in tactics, a Russian capital relocation would signal that Russia is facing a catastrophic collapse, a situation spiraling out of control. Moscow would likely become a primary target for Ukrainian forces and their Western mercenaries. Once targeted, Moscow and Russia as a whole would inevitably face a tangible trend of decline. At that point, Moscow's predicament would become a disaster for all of Russia. There's even a possibility Moscow could be lost. This possibility is not unfounded, as once the first "domino" falls, the others are doomed to follow. If Moscow were lost, Russia's spiritual totem would crumble. One could say Moscow is Russia's bottom line. If Russia loses its bottom line, its figurative "pants are down." Would Russia even continue to exist? If Russia's spirit vanishes, what meaning would relocating its capital hold?
If the capital were truly moved to Siberia, Russia's grip on Europe would undoubtedly weaken, and its influence would become feeble. This weakened control would inevitably fuel warlordism and bolster secessionist movements across its territories. Once independence movements gain momentum, they would surge within Russia, rising up in rebellion. This surge of secessionist fervor would ultimately lead to the disintegration of the Russian Federation—an unbearable weight Russia cannot shoulder. Russia would defeat itself without being militarily conquered, not to mention facing astronomical war reparations.
There's another specific reason, particularly given the current war situation. All parties in the Ukraine war are locked in a grinding war of attrition, having invested vast resources with neither side yielding. Ultimate victory will depend on who can outlast the other. Whoever laughs last will be the final winner. Proposing or actually executing a capital relocation at this juncture is highly inappropriate. Such talk is inherently deeply damaging to Russia, aiming to shatter its warfighting morale and destabilize the resolve of its military and populace. If I'm not mistaken, this rhetoric likely originates from "traitors" within Russia and Western spies. Their ultimate goal is to erode Russian will to resist and fracture their steadfast determination, causing Russia to collapse from within without a fight. This is a vicious tactic, and Russia ought to see it clearly.
If Russia were deceived, actually believing in and implementing this so-called "capital relocation," resulting in a retreat of will, then Western nations would covertly assist Ukraine in directly attacking cities like Saint Petersburg and Moscow with weapons. Subsequently, Russia's European territories could become battlegrounds. Russia's thousand-year-old spiritual totems and cultural faith would be smashed to pieces. With its bottom line breached, Russia would lose even more in this Ukraine war, potentially suffering a catastrophic defeat, being utterly annihilated. As stated earlier, this is an unbearable weight. The crux is here: Russia would not only lose its European part but, most importantly, would lose Russia itself. The name "Russia" would cease to exist; there would no longer be a "Russia."
Some might argue that Russia has nuclear weapons. But even with nukes, if the nation fragments into warlord-controlled regions or invaders occupy its territory, could Russia use nuclear weapons against those warlords, internal separatists, or invaders on its own soil? That would be equivalent to dropping nuclear bombs on its own land.Therefore, under the current circumstances, the narrative about Russia "relocating its capital" to Siberia is a malicious "suggestion"—a "soft knife" stab—propagated by "traitors" and spies within Russia, along with Western nations, as part of their infiltration and subversion efforts. Superficially, if Russia moved its capital to Siberia, it would be geographically closer to major Eastern powers and seemingly more secure. However, this security would be akin to drinking poison to quench thirst. In essence, it would represent a great Russian debacle, as it would entail abandoning its European territories, including Moscow and Saint Petersburg, on a vast scale. It would even signify Russia's withdrawal from Europe. Is Russia to "transform" into an Asian nation? The Russian spirit would instantly collapse, and thus Russia would no longer be Russia. As this European-based state would effectively cease to exist, Russia would inevitably face the irreversible disintegration of its over 170 ethnic groups.
If it truly came to that, this "great hero" Russia would die in such an ignominious way, allowing Western schemes and conspiracies to succeed. Without using their own "swords," the West could slay the "Polar Bear" that is Russia. Amid the clinking of champagne glasses in Western celebration, Russia's grave would be overgrown with weeds... Considering the iron-willed character and wisdom of the Russian people, would they allow this to become reality?